Rising and dropping dogs

Statistically, a dog moving up into a grade in which it has never competed will win only 15% of the time. Their odds also tend to be low due to the tendency of the public to overreact to their recent win and because they seem currently in good form. The advice here is never to bet on first race dogs as you may well find they are outclassed.

Dogs that drop in grade are usually out of form, and this can make them look bad on paper. This is why the crowd often allows them to race at better odds than they actually should. Considering the same crowd overplays recent winners going up in grade, class droppers are definitely worth betting on.

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